新常态下区域物流与区域经济互动关系研究——基于西藏1995-2014年面板数据

On the Interactive Relationship between Regional Logistics and Regional Economy in the New Normal——Based on Tibet's 1995-2014 panel data

文章借新常态对西藏经济产生深远影响为契机,探析西藏区域物流与区域经济的互动关系及其作用机理。以西藏1995~2014年货运量、周转量为区域物流能力指标,GDP为区域经济发展水平指标,采用格兰杰因果检验方法分析两者的作用关系,结果表明两者具有双向互动关系。在此基础上构建了多元线性回归模型,并采用该模型实证分析西藏区域物流对区域经济的拉动程度,对西藏现代物流产业发展提出了相应的建议。

Since the new normal has a profound impact on Tibet＇s economy, this article discusses the interactive relationship between the regional logistics and regional economy of Tibet and its mechanism of action. Taking Ti- bet＇s annual freight volume and turnover volume from 1995 to 2014 as regional logistics capability indicator, GDP as the regional economic development indicator, an analysis has been done on the relationship between the regional logistics and regional economy of Tibet by using Granger Causality Test, the results show that they have a two-way interactive relationship. On the basis of the analysis, a multiple linear regression model is built, and then an empirical analysis is conducted on the promotion of the regional logistics to the regional economy of Ti- bet. Lastly, some appropriate proposals are put forward on the development of modern logistics industry in Tibet.