农业经济增长对农业面源污染影响的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Impact of Agricultural Economic Growth on Agricultural Non-point Source Pollution

根据1991—2014年我国31省(市、自治区)3项环境污染指标的面板数据,就农业经济增长与农业环境污染之间的关系,以环境3效应为基础进行EKC检验。结果表明:农业经济增长与农业环境污染之间的关系正好与传统环境库兹涅茨假说的规律吻合,而我国目前仍处于EKC曲线的前期阶段。在此基础上对我国农业经济水平与污染的现状进行分析总结,提出相应建议。

Based on the panel data of three environmental pollution indicators in 31 provinces （municipalities and autonomous regions） in China fi＇om 1991 to 2014 ,the EKC test was carried out on the basis of enviromnental effects on the relationship between agricultural economic growth and agricultural environmental pollution. The results show that the relationship between agricultural economic growth and agricultural environmental pollution coincides with the traditional Kuznets hypothesis, and China is still in the early stage of EKC curve. On the basis of this, the present situ- ation of agricultural economy and pollution in China was analyzed and summarized, and the corresponding suggestions were put forward.