环境规制对中国纺织产业升级的影响研究

Impact of Environmental Regulation on the Upgrading of China's Textile Industry

中国纺织产业面临日益增强的环境规制,研究环境规制对产业升级的影响有助于协调好环境资源与产业发展的关系。用1991—2013年中国纺织产业中纺织业、纺织服装业、皮革业和化纤业四个行业的面板数据,就环境规制能否促进纺织产业的升级进行了检验,并进一步验证了正式环境规制对纺织产业升级的门槛效应及四个行业之间的异质性。结果表明:正式环境规制对纺织产业升级有显著的促进作用。但是当以工业污染排放强度为门槛变量时,随着正式环境规制强度的提高,它对产业升级的影响表现为先促进后抑制,从而验证了两者之间的门槛特征和行业异质性。非正式环境中,收入水平对纺织产业升级有显著的促进作用,受教育程度对纺织产业升级也有轻微的促进作用,总体来说,非正式环境规制对产业升级的影响已经初步显现。

China＇s textile industry is facing increasing environmental regulation. Study the impact of environmental regulationon industrial upgrading is helpful to coordinate the relationship between environmental resources and industrial development. Inthis paper, we have used the panel data of 1991-2013 on China＇s textile industry, textile and garment industry, leather industryand chemical fiber industry, the paper tests that if the environmental regulation could promote the industry upgrading. Thenestablish a threshold regression model to examine the threshold characteristics and industry heterogeneity of the four sectors.The result shows： the formal regulation can significantly promote industry upgrading, its impact presented promoting first,then inhibiting. In informal environment, income level play a significantly role in promoting industrial upgrading, however, theeducation is slight. But the economic effect of informal regulation has initially appeared in China.