海洋渔业经济系统环境适应协调度的时空分异研究——以沿海11省市为例

Spatial-temporal Differentiation of Marine Fishery Economic System Environmental Adaptability——A Case Study of Eleven Coastal Provinces and Cities

以中国沿海11省市2003-2013年面板数据为样本,在引入海洋渔业经济系统环境适应耦合协调综合发展评价指标体系的基础上,利用海洋渔业经济系统环境耦合协调度的时空分异模型,从时间和空间两个维度对海洋渔业经济系统环境适应耦合协调度进行了研究。结果表明:从时序上看,我国沿海省际海洋渔业经济系统环境适应协调度总体上升显著且有趋同的趋势;从局部空间看,江苏-浙江-上海区域协调度差异始终存在,上海市协调度的稳步提升使得山东-江苏-浙江-上海区域整体协调度提升至较高水平。据此,提出了加强海洋渔业布局规划,充分发挥资源环境系统的自我净化能力等对策,以期实现我国省际海洋渔业经济系统及资源环境系统高度协调及省际差距的进一步缩小。

With the 2003-2013 panel data from eleven China coastal provinces and cities as sample and based on the evaluation index system for the coupling coordination development of marine fishery economic system environ- mental adaptation, this paper studies marine fishery economic system environmental adaptation coupling coordination degree from the two dimensions of time and space by adopting the corresponding spatial-temporal differentiation mod- el. The results show that from the view of time, the environmental adaptation coordination degree of China inter-pro- vincial marine fishery economic system increases significantly with a trend of convergence while from the view of local space, there exist regional coordination degree differences between Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai, and the steady improvement of Shanghai coordination degree drives the overall regional coordination degree among Shandong, Jiang- su, Zhejiang and Shanghai to a higher level. Therefore, this paper puts forward such countermeasures as strengthe- ning marine fishery planning and giving a full play of the self purification ability role of resource environment system in order to achieve a high-level coordination between China inter-provincial marine fishery economic system and re- source environment system and further narrow the gap between provinces.