生产性服务业经济增长与制造业转型升级的互动发展研究——基于2005—2014年全国省份面板数据

Interactive Development Research between Economic Growth of Producer Service Industries and Transformation and Upgrade of Manufacturing Industries——Based on Provinces Panel Data Nationwide from 2005 to 2014

近几年来,随着"中国制造2025"的兴起,我国制造业企业纷纷进行企业的转型升级,同时生产性服务业企业数量不断增加,规模不断扩大。宏观上,随着我国第三产业经济比重增加,其中生产性服务业经济增长比重逐渐上升,与此同时,制造业转型升级不断发展,制造业经济呈现良好发展态势。通过线性回归方法,对制造业转型升级因素进行处理,探究全国31个省份的生产性服务业经济与制造业转型升级综合指标的相关关系。研究表明,生产性服务业经济增长与制造业转型升级呈现显著的正相关关系,两者产业呈现明显的互动促进发展效应。

Recently,with the “ Made in China 2025” booming,more and more manufacturing industries are conducting their transformation and upgrade businesses, meanwhile, producer service industries are increasingly scaling and paramount; on the macro level,the tertiary industry accounts for a larger proportion of national economy,especially the producer services industries. At the same time, manufacturing industries present a good development trend. By applying the method of linear regression and dealing with many transformation and upgrade factors, the paper researches the correlation of producer service industries and comprehensive transformation and upgrade indexes in 31 provinces, it is convinced that there are significant positive correlation between the economic growth of pro-ducer service industries and transformation and upgrade of manufacturing industries, in another way, this two industries play a great in-teractive development effect.