节能和提高能效对控制煤炭消费总量的贡献分析

Analysis on the Contribution of Energy Saving and Energy Efficiency for Coal Cap

我国能源消费呈现以煤为主特点,由于消费总量大、利用方式粗放,对生态环境、气候变化带来一系列负面影响,控制煤炭消费总量是推进我国能源生产和消费革命、解决雾霾等突出环境问题的首要任务。研究表明,经过政策努力,2020年我国煤炭消费总量可以控制在35亿tce左右,比基准情景下降6亿tce;高耗能行业是控煤的重点,其中节能和提高能效的贡献接近2/3,是控煤的"第一动力"。"十三五"时期应通过深入开展体制机制创新,持续推进全社会节能提效工作,为控制煤炭消费总量注入持久动力。

Coal dominates China＇s energy consumption. Due to huge amount of consumption, irrational utilization, coal has caused great disaster to the environment and climate change. ＂Coal Cap＂ is the core task for China to advance the Energy Production and Consumption Revolution, as well as to address regional pollution issues such as smog. The research shows that, the total domestic coal consumption could be controlled at the level of 3.5 billion tons （600 million tons less compared to the reference scenario） with the portfolio of policies. Key coal intensive industries have become a core of ＂Coal Cap＂ in China. Energy conservation and efficiency improvement can contribute almost 2/3 of coal reduction potentials, which is the ＂First Driving Force＂ to ＂Coal Cap＂. In the 13th FYP, further system innovations and mechanism optimizations are necessary for promoting energy efficiency and ＂Coal Cap＂.