城镇化推进的财政收入效应实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Effect of Urbanization on the Fiscal Revenue

财政收入对经济和社会发展起到至关重要的作用。本文利用中国省际面板数据进行经验分析发现:1)城镇化发展显著促进财政收入增长,但具有明显的地区差异;2)第三产业发展对城镇化增进的财经收入增长效应具有显著的正向调节作用,同时中西部地区调节作用强度高于东部地区;3)全国范围与东部地区第二产业发展对城镇化增进的财政收入增长效应具有显著的负向调节作用,中西部地区第二产业发展对对城镇化增进的财政收入增长效应没有显著的调节关系。

Fiscal revenue plays a vital role in economic and social development. This paper carries out an empirical analysis of China＇s provincial panel data and finds out that： First, the development of urbanization significantly contributes to the growth of fiscal revenue, but with significant regional differences; Second, the tertiary industry development has a significant positive effect on the growth effect of urbanization on the growth of fiscal income, and the intensity of regulation in the central and western regions is higher than that in the eastern region; Thirdly, the development of the secondary industry in the whole country and the eastern region has a significant negative effect on the growth effect of the fiscal revenue growth promoted by the urbanization, and the secondary industry development in the central and western regions has no significant adjustment relationship to the effect of the fiscal revenue growth on urbanization.