民盟执政缅甸外资发展的新特征、新趋势及中国的应对策略

The New Characteristics and Trend of Myanmar's Foreign Investment and Countermeasures of China under NLD

2016年4月1日,民盟吴廷觉总统上台执政,翻开了缅甸国内政治民主化改革的新篇章。截至2017年3月31日,民盟执政一周年,本财年缅甸吸引外资大幅下挫;新加坡投资占缅甸外资总额的半壁江山,越南投资急剧飙升,中国投资骤然下降,西方发达国家仍持观望态度,对缅投资止步不前;缅甸外资产业分布格局大洗牌,流入交通与通讯、制造业、与民生相关项目外资呈逆势大增,油气、水电、矿业等传统外资所青睐行业黯然失色。民盟新政府将发展经济、改善民生作为执政重要任务。随着民盟政权日益巩固及政策明晰化,基于独特的地缘战略位置和资源禀赋优势,缅甸未来经济发展前景看好、引资潜力巨大。

On April 1,2016, President Htin Kyaw came to power, which opened a new chapter of domestic political democratic reform in Myanmar. Up to March 31, 2017, NLD has taken the new post for one year, while the foreign investment in this fiscal year suffered misfortune. The investment from Singapore occupies half around of Myanmar＇s foreign investment; Vietnam＇s investment surges; China＇s drops suddenly; the Western developed countries still take a wait - and - see attitude with a pause in investment here. The structure of Myanmar＇s foreign investment enterprises reshuffles. And there is a big reversal in the foreign investment in programs related to transportation and communications, manufacturing and livelihood, increasing sharply; while that in oil and gas, hydropower, mining favored by traditional foreign investment shrinks. The new government led by NLD takes developing economy and improving livelihood as the priority. With the strengthening of political power and clearer policies, and based on the unique geographical strategic location and advantages of resource endowment, the future economic development of Myanmar will be prospective and there will be a huge potential for attracting foreign investment.