摘要
研究不完全信息下大型客机协同研制供应链风险的评估方法。针对大型客机供应链风险评估的不完全特征,建立考虑接近关联度和相似关联度最大的不完全信息推测模型;依据最大关联度的思想,提出群体评估者定权的方法;基于灰靶决策框架,提出考虑风险最大区分思想下的属性权重测算的极大熵方法。将所提出理论应用到大型客机"主-供"模式协同研制"初创期"的供应链风险评估实践,并得到合理的评估结果。
The evaluating method for the risk of the supply chain about the large aircraft under incomplete information is studied. According to the incomplete characteristics of large aircraft supply chain risk assessment, the incomplete information estimation model is established based on the close association degree and similarity with the greatest relevance. The weight method for the group decision maker is proposed based on the maximum correlation degree. Based on the grey target decision framework, the maximum entropy method for attribute weight calculation is proposed considering maximal risk distinguishing. The proposed method is applied for the supply chain risk assessment of the ＂start up＂ stage of＂main -supply＂ pattern, and the reasonable evaluation results are obtained.
作者
王翯华
朱建军
张明
WANG Hehua ZHU Jianjun ZHANG Ming(Jinling Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211169, China Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第11期65-70,共6页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
国家自然科学基金青年基金项目"考虑‘能力-态度-环境’的大型客机协同研制供应链风险复杂网络演化与管控研究"(71502073)
教育部人文社会科学基金青年基金项目"‘主-供’模式下‘初创期’主制造商协同研制供应链风险管控研究--以大型客机为例"(14YJC630120)
金陵科技学院科研启动基金项目"主-供’模式下‘初创期’主制造商协同研制供应链风险管控研究--以大型客机为例("jit-b-201419)
关键词
供应链风险
协同研制
关联度
灰靶决策
不完全信息
supply chain risk
collaborative development
correlation degree
grey target decision
incomplete information
