基于复合协调模型的新型城镇化水资源支撑评价

Study of Water Resources Supporting Capacity of New Urbanization Construction Based on Comprehensive Coordination Degree

水资源是区域新型城镇化建设的最重要资源支撑,开展新型城镇化建设,就必须开展水资源支撑力研究。以新型城镇化建设作为巨系统,以水资源供应和经济社会协调发展作为子系统,以此构建相应的三级评价指标体系;以综合协调度模型作为评价方法,开展新型城镇化建设的静态和动态水资源支撑力评价。以达州市为研究区的实证结果表明,达州市水资源对新型城镇化建设的支撑力是呈线性逐年提高,但也需尽量保持经济社会的平稳发展。相应评价指标选择合理,模型方法得当,不失为水资源支撑力研究的有效方法。

Water resources are the most important resource support for regional new urbanization construction. To carry out a new type of urbanization, it is necessary to carry out research on water resources support. Three-layer evaluation index system is constructed with new type urbanization as a giant system and water resources and economic and social development as a subsystem. The evaluation of the supporting capacity of static and dynamic water resources for new urbanization can be done by using comprehensive coordination degree model as the evaluation method. The empirical analysis of Dazhou City shows that the support capacity of Dazhou water resources for the new urbanization construction and development is linear increasing year by year. But it also needs to try to keep the economic and social developing stably. The method proposed in this paper is an effective method for the study of water resources supporting capacity with reasonable selection of the corresponding evaluation index and proper model.