世锦赛标枪成绩变化特点及发展趋势

Features and Trends of Performance of Javelin in World Championships

目的了解历届世锦赛标枪成绩的变化,利用灰色预测法对16届世锦赛男女标枪成绩趋势进行预测。方法利用文献资料法、数理统计法、比较分析法等研究方法对历届世锦赛标枪成绩进行分析。结果世锦赛男女标枪成绩整体呈下降趋势;我国女子标枪成绩具有一定优势,但男子则提升缓慢。结论预测第16届世锦赛男子标枪成绩略有下降,女子标枪预测成绩略有提高。

Objective To understand the changes of Javelin performance in successive world championships, this paper used grey prediction method to predict the javelin throwing performance of the 16th world championships. Methods By using the methods of literature, mathematical statistics and comparative analysis research methods, the javelin performance of successive World Championships was analyzed. Results The overall performance of javelin athletes declined in recent competitions. Meanwhile, China＇s women＇s javelin performance had certain advantages, but mens＂ were ascending slowly. Conclusion In the 16th world championships, the Javelin performance of men would decrease slightly and women＇s javelin scores could be improved.