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围绕全球变暖“停滞”的争论 被引量:14

Debate on Global Warming "Hiatus"
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摘要 IPCC第五次评估报告(AR5)给出近15年全球年平均地表温度的变暖趋势有"停滞(hiatus)",即从1998—2012年4套全球年平均地表温度观测资料计算得到变暖趋势是:(0.05±0.10)℃/10a。在AR5撰写过程中和2013年正式发表以来,对于近15年全球变暖是否出现停滞一直存在争议:是否出现了停滞?停滞的原因?为什么众多模式在考虑人类排放温室气体增加的历史模拟试验中都没有模拟出近些年的停滞?
出处 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第6期571-574,共4页 Climate Change Research
基金 国家自然科学基金41305054 清华大学科研项目20131089356
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