摘要
受国内玉米"去库存"政策影响,2016年,中国大麦进口量同比大幅减少,最大进口来源国仍是澳大利亚,最主要的进口省份和海关分别是广东省和南京海关;从价格来看,国际大麦价格和中国大麦进口CNF价格均比2015年有所下降。综合国内外大麦供求形势、价格走势、中国大麦贸易政策以及国内玉米价格的持续走低和中国大麦进口许可管理政策在2017年继续实施,预计2017年中国大麦进口量将较2016年略有下降。
In 2016, the import volume of barley in China fell substantially compared to 2015 due to the influence of the policy of reducing maize stocks. Australia remained China's largest importer of barley, and the main import province and custom were Guangdong province and Nanjing custom respectively. In terms of price, both the international barley price and China's barley imported CNF price were lower than those in 2015. Combining with the supply and demand situations and price trends of barley at home and abroad, domestic barley trade policy, domestic maize price continuing to decline and China's barley import license management policy being continuing in 2017, it is expected that China's barley imports will decline slightly in 2017 compared to that of in 2016.
出处
《农业展望》
2017年第5期81-85,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
国家大麦青稞产业技术体系建设专项经费项目(CARS-05)
国家自然科学基金项目(71473253)
中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(ASTIP-IAED-2017-06)
关键词
大麦
价格
替代品
玉米
进口形势
展望
barley
price
substitute
maize
import situation
outlook