汇率的比价——杠杆属性系统、高阶逻辑问题与宏观混沌机制

The Active and Passive Attributes of Exchange Rate,the High Order Logic Problem and the Mechanism of Macro Chaos

汇率是国际金融领域中的关键变量,在世界经济渐趋一体化的时代背景下,汇率同时成为影响一国经济运行内部状况的重要因素。汇率的高低对经济的内涵与外延增长有不同的影响,从而使经济的内部均衡呈现不同的状态。本文首先尝试在教育部重大课题攻关项目"人民币均衡汇率问题研究"中所建立的汇率决定的内部均衡模型的理论框架内对其进行修正;其次从汇率与经济增长的反身性关系角度对原模型框架进行了反思,并从中引申出高阶逻辑问题与宏观混沌机制;最后对该问题进行了哲学层面的探究,并从一个新的视角阐释了辩证法与形而上学的关系。

As the key variable in international finance, exchange rate is also important for the development of domestic economy in the era of economic globalization. Affecting the quality and quantity of economic growth differently, the different levels of exchange rate thus make domestic economy running on different states. Firstly, this paper tries to modify the internal equilibrium model for the determination of exchange rate within the original theoretical framework which is established in the book, A Study on Equilibrium Exchange reflexivity relationship inherent in the model between the exchange rate Rate of RMB. Secondly, a reflection on the and the economic growth makes the discussion on the high-order logical problem and the exploration on the mechanism of macro-chaos takes a new look at the relation between dialectics and metaphysics, finding that the dialectics and metaphysics are completely opposite may not be proper. possible. At last, this paper conventional conviction that