北京市入境旅游市场变化特征研究

Analysis on Variation Characteristics of Beijing City's Inbound Tourism Market

以北京市入境旅游市场为研究对象,基于年际变动指数、市场竞争态、位序-规模分布、地理集中指数、首位度等指标及其理论,对2001—2014年北京市入境旅游市场的变化特征进行比较分析.结果表明,北京市入境旅游市场规模呈波动上升趋势,而增长率却呈下降趋势.外国和港澳台市场的规模均不断扩大,但2者的年际变动幅度均较大.外国市场规模持续高于港澳台市场,呈现"倒二八"结构.日本、韩国、美国、台湾、香港和德国在北京市入境旅游市场中占有重要地位.北京市入境旅游市场空间分布趋于合理,但首位国家的顶端优势呈现强化趋势.

Taking inbound tourism market of Beijing city as the research object, the article comparatively analyzes the variation characteristic of inbound tourism market in Beijing city from 2001 to 2014 according to indexes of interannual variation, competitive state of source-market, rank-size distribution, geographical concentration, and primacy along with relevant theories. The result shows that, the scale of Beijing inbound tourism shows fluctuate upwards tendency, the increasing rate, however, tends to decrease. The scale of foreign tourism and tourism market of Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan expands constantly. But the interannual variation range of both sides is relatively considerable. The scale of foreign tourism market keeps higher than the market scale of Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, appearing ＂reversing two-eight＂. Japan, Korea, USA, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Germany play important roles in inbound tourism in Beijing. The spatial distribution of Beijing inbound tourism market tends to be reasonable, but the apical dominance of primacy nation appears tendency of strengthening.