经济下行中进口激增、产能过剩对我国煤炭价格的影响

Impact of Import Surges and Excess Capacity under Economic Downturn on Coal Price of China

以我国2000年~2015年煤炭价格为研究对象,分析了经济下行压力、煤炭进口量与进口价格以及产能过剩等因素对我国国内煤炭价格的影响。研究发现,煤炭进口价格是影响国内煤炭价格的最显著性因素,煤炭进口、经济下行压力都对国内煤炭价格有一定的影响。要求我国政府加强对煤炭行业的宏观调控,煤炭企业有效配置资源、制定正确经营战略、规避市场风险,缓解经济下行压力下进口激增、产能过剩对我国煤炭价格的冲击。

Taken coal price of China within 2000-2015 as study object, this paper analyzes the impact of economic downturn pressure, coal import amount, import price and excess surges on China＇s domestic coal price. The results indicate that： coal import price is most significant factor to impact the domestic coal price, both coal import and economic downturn pressure have impact to some extent on domestic coal price. It requires Chinese government to strengthen the macro control of coal industry, coal enterprises to allocate resources effectively, make proper management strategy, avoid market risk, and re- mit the impact of import surges and excess capacity under economic downturn pressure on coal price of China.