河北省环首都经济圈外来人口规模预测

The Prediction of the Foreign Population in the Ring Capital Economic Circle of Hebei Province

以实地调查数据和统计年鉴数据为基础,运用灰色等维递补预测法可以对环首都经济圈未来外来人口规模进行预测。结果表明,该地区外来人口总量到2025年预测达到604万人,其中购房外来人口是外来人口的第一来源。河北省环首都经济圈已经成为缓解北京人口压力的重要吸纳地。

Based on the field survey data and authoritative statistical yearbook data, authors used Equivalent Dimensions Ad-ditional Grey prediction to forecast future foreign population of capital economic circle. The result shows that the total foreign population will reach 604 million people till the year of 2025, which the house -purchase external population is the first source. The loop capital economy circle has become the important absorb field to relief Beijing＇s population pressure.