我国养猪业即将迎来大变局

China's pig industry is about to usher in a big change

根据农业部发布的数据,2016年12月,我国生猪存栏比11月下降2%至3.81亿头,能繁母猪存栏数下降0.5%至3669.56万头,其中能繁母猪存栏量已经连续40个月无显著增长。这些数据透露的一个核心信息就是,在猪价高位的刺激下,中国养猪业的产能恢复却远低于市场预期。导致这个结局的一个重要原因就是环保政策的抑制,并且在2017年只会加强、不会松懈。处在限养区、禁养区的猪场,大量被拆迁,还在坚持的猪场也十分忌惮,不敢扩大规模。

Abstract：According to the data released by the Ministry of agriculture in December 2016, China＇s pig population decreased by 2% to 381 million head than in November, the number of sows decreased from 0. 5% to 36 million 695 thousand and 600, which sows volume has 40 consecutive months without significant growth. Here is a core information revealed that the high price of pork in the stimulus, China＇s pig production capacity recovery is much lower than market expectations. An important reason for this outcome is the suppression of environmental policy, and in 2017 will only strengthen, will not relax. In the lim- ited support area, ban pig farm, a large number of demolition, still adhere to the pig is aiso very afraid, afraid to expand the