“双重依赖”下的战略困境——澳大利亚南海政策及其特点

Strategic Predicament under the Double Dependences:Australia's South China Sea Policy and Its Characteristics

美自2010年以来,随着南海问题在亚太地区的升温,澳大利亚对南海局势开始予以密切关注。其南海政策主要集中于中国的岛礁建设、航行自由以及南海仲裁案等方面。在具体实施中,澳大利亚南海政策呈现出以下基本特点:强化与争端国的合作,避免单独介入;防范中国"控制"南海的意图明显;中、澳、美三边关系的非对称性,造成澳南海政策取向表现出一定的模糊性。当前,在经济与安全利益方面,澳大利亚已经形成了对中、美两国"双重依赖"的局面。随着中美南海博弈的深入发展,澳大利亚在南海争端中逐渐陷入被动局面,其南海政策的战略抉择也变得愈发艰难。

Since 2010, Australia began to pay very close attention to the situation of the South China Sea, as the South China Sea issue has become a hot topic in Asia-Pacific region. Australia's policy toward the South China Sea concentrates in the main on reef construction, freedom of navigation, and the international arbitration of the South China Sea issue. In actual practice, Australia's South China Sea policy manifests basically the following features: strengthening cooperation with the disputing countries in order to avoid independent intervention; keeping China away from 'controlling' the South China Sea, and manifesting certain ambiguity of Australia's South China Sea policy orientation. Currently, in the fields of economic and security interests, Australia has become 'doubly dependent' on both China and the US. With the game-playing between China and the US over the South China Sea going deep, Australia has become passive in the South China Sea disputes, whose strategic choice for its South China Sea policy has become more and more difficult.