基于德尔菲调查法的能源领域技术预见研究

The Field of Energy Technology Foresight Research Based on the Delphi Method

首先采用SWOT方法对南方X省能源产业和能源技术发展情况进行了全面分析,然后基于技术预见方法,重点运用两轮德尔菲专家调查法对该省能源领域的未来技术发展趋势进行预测和评估,最后针对调查结果提出了该省发展能源产业和进行重点技术布局的对策建议。

Fuistly, this paper adopts SWOT to analyze the development trend of energy industry and energy technology in the X Southern province, then based on technology foresight method, focusing on the use of two rounds of expert Delphi technology development tendency in the future investigation on the energy sector in the province have been predicted and evaluated, finally countermeasures and suggestions of the development of energy industry in the province and the key technology of the layout ac-cording to the results of the survey.