中国农民工多维返贫测度问题

Multi-dimensional Poverty Measurement for Chinese Rural Migrant Workers that Return to Poverty

本文在改进A-F多维贫困指数分析的基础上,提出了多维返贫识别及测算方法。采用这些方法,本文使用2010~2014年中国家庭追踪调查数据对中国农民工多维返贫进行了测度,并得出以下结论:第一,返贫是目前中国农民工发生贫困的重要原因;第二,新一代农民工返贫指数低于老一代农民工,但二者差距在缩小;第三,健康、融入城市等维度对新老农民工多维返贫的贡献不同。

This article proposes a multidimensional poverty measurement for Chinese rural migrant workers who return to poverty, based on the improved A-F multidimensional measures. It uses data from the China Family Panel Studies and draws the following conclusions. First, the fact that Chinese rural migrant workers return to poverty is an important cause for poverty. Second, the indices that measure the probability of returning to poverty for the younger generation of Chinese rural migrant workers is lower than those for the elder generation, but the gap is shrinking. Third, indices such as health and social inclusion have a different degree of influence on returning to poverty for the younger and elder generations of Chinese rural migrant workers.