摘要
利用1980—2013年间的城镇人口与碳排放数据,选取城镇化进程中影响碳排放的城镇化水平、城镇建设用地面积、第三产业增加值、人均可支配收入、城镇人均绿化面积等因素,实证分析了城镇化对我国碳排放的影响程度,并利用格兰杰夫因果关系与误差修正模型分析了二者的因果关系与时间效应。最后,从降低工业碳排放、加快低碳城镇化试点建设、推进低碳社区发展,促进新能源发展等方面提出了相关建议。
The paper used China' s urban population and carbon emissions data for the years 1980-2013 ,selected the impact factors of carbon emissions during China' s urbanization process such as the urbanization level, urban construction land area, the added value of the third industry, per capita disposable income, per capital green area in towns, then discussed the causality and time effect between urbanization and carbon emissions by using Granger causality test and error correction model (ECM). According to analysis, suggestions were given on reducing industrial carbon emissions, accelerating a low-carbon urbanization pilot building, proceeding low-carbon community development and promoting new energy development.
出处
《环境工程》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第6期146-150,共5页
Environmental Engineering
基金
国家社科基金项目(16BGL140)
全国统计科学研究项目(2015537)
江苏省社会科学基金项目(15EYC003)
江苏师范大学博士学位人员支持项目(14XWR020)
关键词
城镇化
碳排放
误差修正模型
格兰杰因果关系
urbanization
carbon emission
error correction model
Granger causality test