基于出口市场分解的中国高技术制造品出口增长来源

Growth Sources of China's High-tech Manufactured Products Based on the Composition of Export Market

高技术产品出口在中国货物出口中占据重要地位。以2004年与2015年中国高技术品出口贸易值作为样本数据,运用二元边际方法分析产品—出口市场增长来源。从全世界范围看,中国高技术产品出口主要由集约边际引起,扩展边际作用甚微。从出口市场角度看,其增长靠集约边际拉动和扩展边际推动。在国际环境不确定性增加的情况下,中国高技术产品出口需采取边际扩展,除开拓市场外,应注重新产品研发和应用,扩大产品种类,创造市场新需求,以应对外部冲击。

The exportation of high-tech product plays an important role in China＇s export of goods.Tacking the export value of China＇s high-tech products from 2004 and 2015and applying the two-dual margins method, the paper analyzes the growth sources of export market.From a global perspective, China＇s high-tech exports are mainly caused by the intensive margin and the extensive margin contributes little to the growth.In terms of export market, its growth is pushed by intensive margin and its expansion is boosted by extensive margin.In the increasingly uncertain international context, China may adopt the strategy of expansion by extensive margin.Besides expanding the market, China should focus on developing new products, diversify commodities and create new demand in the market in order to cope with the impact from outside.