电子商务外溢效应的测度研究

Measurement of the Spillover Effect of E-commerce

利用菲德模型讨论电子商务的外溢效应与经济增长的关系,并基于中国2006—2015年的数据,测度中国电子商务的外溢效应及其对国民经济的影响。理论模型表明:电子商务的外溢效应促进经济增长。实证结果显示:电子商务每增长1%,其外溢效应促进经济增长0.133%;电子商务显著地推动了三次产业的发展,其中第二产业获得巨大的发展红利,而第一产业和第三产业具有很大的提升潜力。

The paper explores the relationship between the spillover effect of E-commerce and economic growth, and measures the spillover effect of E-commerce based on the data from 2006 to 2015. The model shows that the spillover effect of E-commerce promotes economic growth. The empirical analysis shows that 1% growth of E-commerce promotes 0. 133% average growth in national economic; E-commerce has significantly promoted the development of the three industries, in which the second industry has received a huge development bonus, while the primary industry and the third industry have great potential for upgrading.