省级区域旅游产业-社会经济-生态环境耦合协调度空间相关性研究——以广西为例

The correlation analysis for the coupling coordinative degree of tourism-economic-ecological environment on provincial region——Take Guangxi as an example

构建了广西旅游产业-社会经济-生态环境耦合协调度评价指标体系,计算广西各地级市的耦合协调度,引入ESDA方法及灰色预测模型进行空间相关性研究与模拟预测.结果表明,全局空间自相关为负自相关关系,空间单元为离散状态并逐步向随机状态转化;Moran散点图与LISA聚集图显示的局部空间自相关关系中,空间关联特征主要表现为"高低(HL)"和"低高(LH)"两种模式,南宁、来宾通过显著性检验.近期耦合协调发展水平趋势稳定,但整体水平不高,导致整体空间关联格局不会产生根本性变化.

The coupling coordinative degree evaluation index system of tourism-economic-ecological environment is built , and the coupling coordinative degree of 14 cities in Guangxi Province is calculated , then the exploratory spatial data analysis method and the grey dynamic model for spatial correlation research and simulation is introduced . The research results show that the global spatial autocorrelation is negative correlation , the space unit is discrete state , and gradually transfer to the random state . Local spatial autocorrelation in Moran plot and LISA cluster map display that spatial association is mainly characterized by high-low （HL） and low-high（LH） two models ,Nanning ,Laibin meet the significant test . Recently , trend of coupling coordinated development will be stable but the overall level is not high , resulting in the overall spatial correlation pattern does not have a fundamental change .