发展轨道交通能否促进北京产业扩散?

Does Rail Transit Development Stimulate Industry Decentralization in Beijing?

本文基于三次经济普查和第二次基本单位普查数据,利用空间双重差分(SDID)模型,探讨发展轨道交通能否促进北京产业扩散。研究表明:(1)面对轨道交通网络扩张,服务业倾向于集聚在北京城市中心;制造业更依赖地面交通,轨道交通对其产业分布影响不显著。(2)就服务业细分行业而言,随着轨道交通网络扩张,生活服务业扩散到北京郊区;生产性服务业进一步集聚到中心区;公共服务业对轨道交通发展不敏感。(3)就生产性服务业细分行业而言,金融业倾向于向市中心进一步集聚;交通运输业随轨道交通发展向郊区扩散;其他细分行业情况介于两者之间。

This paper discusses whether rail transit development could stimulate industry decentralization in Beijing,based on the spatial difference-in-difference（SDID） model.The results show：（1） Facing Beijing urban rail transit network expansion,the service industry would be more concentrated in the city center,while the spatial distribution of the manufacturing industry is not sensitive to rail transit development.（2）In terms of the service sector,the consumer service sector sprawls to Beijing＇s suburbs,the producer service sector is more concentrated in city center,and the public service sector is not sensitive to rail transit development.（3） In terms of the producer service sector,the transportation service sector sprawls to Beijing＇s suburbs;finance sector is more concentrated in city center.