江苏省产业结构升级对经济发展质量的影响——基于因子分析、线性回归与VECM模型的实证研究

The Relationship between the Upgrading of Industrial Structure and the Quality of Economic Development in Jiangsu Province

借鉴已有文献理论,分析产业结构升级的内涵,构建产业结构升级体。主要因素包括科技水平、资源利用与环境保护程度、对外经济贸易水平。运用因子分析法先构建三个因素及经济发展质量的指标体系,并以此为基础构建产业结构升级的指标体系。实证分析采用线性回归和向量误差修正(VECM)模型分别分析经济发展质量与产业结构升级以及三大要素之间的关联性。最后,得出结论并提出相应的建议。

The internal meaning of the upgrading of industrial structure is analyzed by referring to the existing literatures and theo- retical analysis. The factors of the upgrading of the industrial structure include the level of science and technology, the level of resource utilization and environmental protection, and the foreign trade. Using the factor analysis method to construct the three factors and the economic development quality index system, and then on the basis of three factors to build the industrial structure upgrade index system. The empirical analysis uses the linear regression and the vector autoregressive model to analyze the relationship between the quality of economic development and the upgrading of industrial structure and the three factors respectively. Finally, some suggestions are given according to the corresponding conclusions.