高速铁路客流生成机理及区域分布特征分析

Analysis on the Formation Mechanism and Regional Distribution Characteristics of Passenger Flow

系统分析高速铁路旅客需求生成规律等基础性理论,可使高速铁路运量预测更加符合市场经济和社会发展规律。探讨高速铁路旅客需求特性以及生成机理,基于市场抽样调查,分析我国华东、华中、西南、西北、华北、东北各地区的高速铁路客流出行意愿、分布规律等客流特征,认为我国客流具有较为明显的区域差异性。其研究成果可对优化高速铁路开行方案和运输组织以及高速铁路市场营销提供指导作用。

This paper systematically analyzes the passenger demand characteristics and formation mechanism of high speed railway,and reveals the passenger flow characteristics such as the willingness and distribution in the East China, Central China, Southwest China, Northwest China, North China and Northeast China through market sampling survey. The passenger flow in China has obvious regional differences. The results have important guiding effect on optimizing high speed railway scheme and transportation organization as well as marketing.