Trends of surface PM_(2.5) over Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei in 2013–2015 and their causes: emission controls vs. meteorological conditions

The PM2.5 （particulate matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 μm） trends during the period 2013- 2015, in 13 cities over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and their causes, were investigated using observations at 75 stations and a regional air quality model. It was found that annual PM2.5 in this region experienced a significant decrease in 2014 and 2015, compared with 2013. PM2.s in 2015 almost met the target on air quality in the 13th Five-Year Plan （2012-2017）. In southern cities （e.g. Xingtai, Handan, Shijiazhuang, and Cangzhou）, this PM2.5 decreasing trend was caused by both meteorological conditions and regional emission controls in 2014 and 2015. Contributions from regional emission controls were more significant than meteorological conditions. In Tianjin and Langfang, the impact of regional emission controls was partly offset by the meteorological conditions in 2014. In 2015, meteorological conditions turned favorable for a PM2.s decrease, but emission controls were still the dominant cause. Compared with polluted cities in Hebei and Tianjin, the decreasing trend in Beijing was small （4% and 9% in 2014 and 2015）.This reflects the competition between adverse meteorological conditions and emission controls. In northern cities （Tangshan, Qinhuangdao, and Zhangjiakou）, regional emission controls dominated the PM2.5 decreasing trend in 2014 and 2015, although they were partly offset by meteorological conditions. In all cities during the heating season in 2015, a more significant decreasing trend of high PM2.5 from emission controls was found than low and middle PM2.5. This indicates that air pollution controls are developing towards refined management （e.g. the Heavy Air Pollution Emergency Response Program） in this region.

文章以2013年为基准年对京津冀地区2014–15年的PM_(2.5)浓度变化趋势作了分析,并结合区域空气质量模式NAQPMS研究了气象条件和大气控制措施对PM_(2.5)浓度变化的贡献。研究结果表明:京津冀地区2014–15年PM_(2.5)年平均浓度较2013年有明显下降,其中:南部城市(邢台、邯郸、石家庄和沧州)PM_(2.5)浓度下降由气象条件和排放源控制共同作用,排放源控制起主导作用;天津市和廊坊市2014年PM_(2.5)浓度下降有赖于排放源控制,气象条件总体不利于污染物扩散,2015年则由气象条件和排放源控制共同作用,以排放源控制为主导作用;受制于不利气象条件影响,北京市PM_(2.5)浓度下降幅度较其它污染城市更小(2014和2015年分别为4%和9%)。在采暖季和非采暖季的对比中,2015年采暖季期间,整个区域重污染下的PM_(2.5)浓度下降幅度显著大于其它时期,这表明当前该区域大气污染治理正朝精细化的方向发展。