溢油污染事故后渔业生产恢复辅助决策系统研究

An assistant decision making system of marine fisheries production recovery post oil spill

为解决溢油应急处置后海水中多环芳烃等石油污染残留物对水生生物产生影响等一系列问题,研究了溢油污染事故发生后渔业生产恢复辅助决策的相关因素,提出了基于模型库的溢油污染事故后续生产恢复辅助决策方案,给出了溢油渔业生产恢复辅助决策算法,建立了溢油生产恢复辅助决策系统。结果表明:该系统可在溢油污染应急处置后,按照渔业生产水质标准的要求,确定合适的修复方案,从而辅助渔业生产恢复工作;用仿真数据对系统进行的测试结果表明,该系统能够满足海洋渔业管理部门在溢油事故发生后进行渔业生产恢复辅助决策的需要。

The decision making factors and flow chart of marine fisheries production recovery post oil spill were studied,and a model library was proposed based on assistant decision making solution of marine fisheries production recovery for development of the assistant decision making algorithm of marine fisheries production recovery to deal with effects of petroleum products such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons on marine organisms. The assistant decision making system of marine fisheries production recovery is built,and the proposed system can be used to select the suitable recovery model that can return the environment factors so that the water quality meet the need of marine aquaculture and poultry standard. The simulated data were used to test the system in order to test the performance of the proposed system. The results showed that the proposed system met the needs of ocean and fishery administration.