城市轨道交通初步设计阶段接驳客流预测方法研究

The Forecast Method of Urban Rail Transit Passenger Volume in the Preliminary Design Phase

对轨道交通初步设计阶段客流预测工作进行梳理,以工程可行性研究阶段的客流预测结果为基础,根据沿线城市规划、建设和交通枢纽的调整变化(如线路车站位置、出口分布等的调整)以接驳客流的预测方法研究为重点,对轨道交通客流进行修正预测,为车站出入口、换乘通道宽度、售/检票机、楼/扶梯等设施规模和布局提供计算依据.

The passenger volume forecast is an important foundation for railway transit construction projects and design preparation work,and it offers the theoretical and technical basis for all phases of railway transit construction projects. The engineering feasibility study is the precondition of traffic demand forecast of the entrances and exits. The principle,demand and approach of the passenger volume forecast are discussed in the paper. The results can be applied to determine the size of facility in the preliminary design phase.