国外体育竞争情报发展脉络与演进历程述评

Review on Development and Evolution of Foreign Sports Competitive Intelligence

采用历史分析法、专家访谈法、数理统计法等,在对国外体育竞争情报发展脉络回顾的基础上,根据其发展特点将整个演进历程划分成3个阶段:先驱阶段、传统体育情报阶段和现代体育情报阶段。对各个时期的主要成果进行梳理,提出未来体育竞争情报的发展趋势:体育竞争情报的发展将随着互联网、云计算、大数据等现代信息技术的快速发展,呈现出服务对象多元化、方法工具科技化、研究范式多维化等趋势。体育竞争情报的发展前景:科技的不断发展将给这个领域带来更多高科技数据采集软件和设备;新的多元数据统计模型将会使体育竞争情报工作变得更具前瞻性和预判性。

Using the research methods of historical analysis, expert interview, mathematical statistics and so on,the present research has, based on the reviewof sports competitive intelligence development in foreign countries,divided into in three evolution stages according to the features in development, namely, pioneer stage, traditional sport intelligence stage, and modern sport intelligence stage. By analyzing the achievements in each stage, it has proposed the developmental trends in future sport competitive intelligence. Along with the rapid development of modern information technology like the Internet, cloud computing, big data, the development of sport competitive intelligence exhibits the trends of diversified service objects, hi-tech methods and means,multidimensional research paradigm, etc. The prospect of sport competitive intelligence can be summarized as the following： continued development of technology will bring more high-tech data acquisition software and equipment to the field; new multivariate statistical model will make sports competitive intelligence work more forward-looking and predictive.