摘要
2017年全国小麦长势总体良好,若夏收期间无极端异常天气出现,有望实现丰收。2017年6—9月,小麦市场价格预计将出现高开低走的格局,但市场价格将整体高于2016年。较高的市场价格将导致夏秋之前华北主产区启动全局性托市收购行为的可能性较小。10月后,价格变化受政策信号影响大,后期小麦最低收购价可能出现下调,市场价格走势尚难确定。
In 2017, China＇s wheat was growing well in general and expected a good gain if there were no rough weather during the harvest time in summer. In Jun-Sep of 2017, domestic wheat market price will be likely to decrease from a high beginning, while it will be a certain higher level of price than that of last year. Therefore it is unlikely to carry out a wide range of political purchase for the government in the main producing areas of north China before summer and autumn. After October, political signs will expectedly play an important role in wheat price formation and the minimum purchasing price of wheat will be cut, thus the market price trend is uncertain.
出处
《农业展望》
2017年第6期4-8,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
小麦
价格
生产形势
质量
市场走势
展望
wheat
price
production situation
quality
market trend
prospect
