内陆开放新高地政策促进精准扶贫的效应分析——基于安徽16个地级市的面板数据

Effect Analysis of New Interior-open Highland in Targeted Poverty Alleviation——Based on Panel Data of 16 Prefecture-level Cities in Anhui

针对安徽省16个地级市的数据,通过多维度贫困测度法,利用主成分分析法确定各个指标的权重,建立多维贫困衡量指标,分析安徽省的贫困现状。选取安徽省16个地级市2001—2014年的面板数据,进口总额、出口总额和实际利用外资总额三个关键自变量和其他控制变量,将多维贫困指数作为被解释变量,构建计量模型,证实了对外开放能够有效促进安徽省精准扶贫。但是对外开放的不同方式以及程度,对扶贫力度的影响是不同的。根据实证分析结果并结合安徽省现实情况,给出相应扶贫建议。

In order to achieve the goal of overall poverty alleviation, Anhui province has made great efforts in targeted poverty alleviation by means of constructing new interior-open highland. According to the data of 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui province, through the multi-dimensional poverty measurement method and determining the weight of each index by principal component analysis, the multi-dimensional poverty index is established to analyze the poverty situation in Anhui province. Then econometric model is set based on the panel data of 16 cities from 2001 to 2014. In this econometric model, import volume, export volume and the actual use of foreign investment are selected as key variables, and the multi-dimensional poverty index is taken as explanatory variables. Regression results suggest that open to the outside world can help Anhui province realize targeted poverty alleviation effectively. But the different ways and degree of opening have different effects on the poverty alleviation. Based on the results of empirical analysis and practical situation of Anhui province, some suggestions are given.