区域经济增长、3T假说与创意阶层分布——基于省际动态面板数据的系统GMM估计

Regional Economic Growth,3T Hypothesis and Creative Class Distribution:On System GMM Test of Inter-Provincial Panel Data

创意产业的兴起导致对创意人才需求大幅度增加。本文以中国创意阶层为研究对象,分析创意阶层相关概念、集聚机制以及其与区域经济增长的关系。以3T假说为基础并进行适当改进,利用2004至2014年中国省级面板数据和sys-GMM估计技术进行实证分析,本文得出的主要结论为:与欠发达地区相比,发达地区的创意阶层与经济增长正相关性更强;创意阶层向东部集聚;文化品供给、人才水平以及人口密度对创意阶层的正向影响显著;为了提升对创意阶层吸引力,发达地区应该提高文化供给和人口密度,而欠发达地区应该提高技术水平;比较而言,发达地区通过营造软性环境来吸引创意阶层的潜力更大。

Larger demand for creative class would come along with the rise of creative industries. Relative concepts, the relationship between regional growth and creative class and agglomeration mechanism were being overviewed. China＇s province-level dynamic panel data from 2004 to 2014 and the sys-GMM method were used for empirically analysis after some improvements made based on the 3T hypothesis. The results show that a stronger positive correlation is found between creative class and developed areas than that of developing ones; creative classes gathered to the east; the supply of cultural products, the level of talent and the population density show positive influence; different regions have different ways to attract creative class, and developed ones should increase the supply of cultural products and population density and developing ones should promote technique level; developed areas have greater potential to attract creative class by providing a better soft environment than developing ones do.