FDI质量影响产能过剩研究

Study on the Influence of FDI Quality on Overcapacity

以2003—2014年中国33个工业行业为样本,研究我国工业产能过剩发展状况和FDI质量的关系。运用两步系统GMM方法,实证分析FDI质量对产能过剩的影响的机制与过程。研究发现,产能过剩问题主要存在于采矿业和重工业部门,FDI质量的提高有利于缓解产能过剩问题。这为解决我国产能过剩问题提供新思路。

Based on the panel data of China＇s 33 industrial sectors during 2003—2014,this paper analyzes the overcapacity index of33 industries in China,and then empirically analyzes the influence of FDI quality on overcapacity with the two-step Systematic GMM method. The result indicates that the fluctuation of China＇s overcapacity index is cyclical,but each industry showed marked heterogeneity. Overcapacity problems are mainly found in the mining and heavy industry sectors. In addition,the improvement of the quality of FDI is conducive to alleviating industry overcapacity.