我国战略性新兴产业与传统产业互动发展的计量验证——基于生产函数角度

A Metrological Verification of the Interactive Development between China's Strategic Emerging Industries and the Traditional Industries:From the Perspective of Production Function

战略性新兴产业与传统产业是相辅相承、互动发展的,成熟的战略性新兴产业将转化为传统产业,而传统产业经过转型升级后又可成为战略性新兴产业。对战略性新兴产业与传统产业互动发展的模式进行了探讨,揭示每一种模式的典型特点;根据生产函数模型,建立基于间接R&D、生产要素和技术溢出对全要素生产率的贡献模型,并应用空间计量模型进行了实证检验。实证检验结果表明:战略性新兴产业对传统产业存在显著的拉动作用;从技术溢出角度来看,华北地区和西南地区的战略性新兴产业对传统产业的技术溢出效应较为显著,而传统产业对战略性新兴产业的技术溢出效应并不显著。从投入要素来看,劳动和资本投入增长对全要素生产率增长的贡献小于R&D和间接R&D的增长对全要素生产率增长的贡献。

The strategic emerging industries and the traditional industries are interactive and supplementing each other in their development; a mature strategic emerging industry will transform into a traditional industry, while a traditional industry can turn into a strategic emerging industry through industrial transformation and upgrading. This paper firstly discusses the interactive development modes between the strategic emerging industries and the traditional industries and reveals the characteristics of each mode; then based on the production function, it builds up a model reflecting the contribution of TFP according to indirect R&D, production factors and technology spillover. It also conducts an empirical test by employing a spatial econometric model. The results suggest that strategic emerging industries exert a significant pull effect on traditional industries; from the perspective of technology spillover, the technology spillover effects from strategic emerging industries to traditional industries in North China and Southwest China are relatively significant, while the technology spillover effects from traditional industries to strategic emerging industries are not significant. From the view of input factors, the input increase of labor and capital contributes less to TFP than the increase of R&D and indirect R&D.