从黑山入盟看北约东扩的困境与出路

Montenegro's Accession and NATO Enlargement's Dilemma and Solution

黑山成为北约第29个成员国,虽然展示了北约东扩的成绩,但也暴露了东扩面临的种种难题:即东扩旨在壮大自身还是抑制俄罗斯?东扩后的北约究竟变强还是变弱?东扩究竟使北约收益多还是遭祸多?如何统一东扩的目标与实践?等等。东扩战略使北约骑虎难下,导致北俄双方冲突升级,引发欧洲政治与安全动荡。东扩已远离北约最初的设计,能否继续,既取决于北约的战略定位与实践,亦取决于欧洲政治与安全格局的变化。

Montenegro became the 29th member of NATO.It is NATO enlargement achievement,but it also discloses problems the eastward expansion of NATO faces.Is it the enlargement strengthening NATO itself or containing Russia?Is enlarged NATO becoming strong or weak?Is eastward expansion of NATO making more profits or more troubles?How does enlarged NATO unify its goal and practice?Enlargement has resulted in conflict escalation between NATO and Russia and political and security instability in Europe.Its development depends on NATO’s strategic orientation,practice and European political and security changes.