我国旅游经济增长方式及省际差异实证研究——基于省际面板数据

An Empirical Study on the Mode of Tourism Economic Growth and Inter——Provincial Difference in China: Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

本文在经济增长理论框架下,构建包含资本、劳动、旅游资源和服务资源投入的旅游经济增长模型,使用2000~2014年我国31个省级行政区旅游经济相关数据,对全国及各省旅游投入要素贡献进行分析,并对其增长方式进行归类。研究发现:从全国来看,我国旅游经济增长方式属于资本-旅游资源共同驱动型;从省际来看,资本驱动型省份和旅游资源驱动型省份占比最大,全国和省际实证数据共同验证了资本和旅游资源是当前我国旅游经济增长主要驱动力。此外,从各省旅游经济增长方式来看,资本驱动型主要集中在经济较发达的东部地区;旅游资源驱动型则主要集中在沿边地区;而北京、广东等经济文化发达地区,已呈现出服务支撑型增长方式。

Under the framework of economic growth theory, this paper constructs the model of tourism economic growth, which includes capital, labor, tourism resources and service resources. Based on the data of tourism economy of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2014, this paper analyzes the contributions of national and provincial tourism inputs, and classifies the mode of growth. The study finds that： from the national point of view, China＇s tourism economic growth is capital-tourism resources co-driven, and from the provincial point of view , capital-driven provinces and tourism-driven provinces accounted for the largest proportion, both of national and inter-provincial empirical data verify the capital and tourism resources are the main driving force of China＇s tourism economic growth. In addition, from the provincial tourism economic growth mode, the capital- driven mainly concentrated in the more developed eastern regions; tourism-driven mainly concentrated in the border areas; and economic and cultural developed areas such like Beijing, Guangdong, have been presented service-supported growth mode.