我国商务服务业的空间集聚及其外溢效应研究——基于276个地级市面板数据的实证分析

The Spatial Agglomeration and Spillover Effect of Business Service——A Spatial Econometric Analysis Using the Data of 276 Cities

基于2003~2014年中国276个地级及以上城市数据,利用探索性空间数据分析工具和空间面板计量模型,对我国商务服务业的空间集聚及外溢效应进行了研究。结果显示:(1)我国商务服务业出现了集中分布趋势并表现出一定的空间关联性;(2)我国商务服务业空间集聚存在明显的累计循环效应;(3)相较于其他城市,省会及直辖市更能吸引商务服务业企业的集聚;(4)制造业发展明显抑制了本地商务服务业的集聚,而其他服务业则表现出一定促进作用;(5)城市制度因素及社会发展水平有利于本地商务服务业的集聚。基于研究结论,提出了推动我国商务服务业发展的几点政策建议。

Based on the data of 276 cities from 2003 to 2014 in China, this paper analyses the spatial agglomeration and spillover effect of business services by using the exploratory spatial data analysis tools and spatial panel data model. Results show that ： Business services present the trend of concentration distribution and show a spatial correlation; The agglomeration of business services exist circulating cumulative effect ; Manufacturing inhibits the agglomeration of business services, while the other services make for it; Capital cities attract more business services firms than others ; Institutional factor and social development are beneficial to the agglomeration of business services. Finally, based on the conclusions, it puts forward several policies which can promote the future development of our business services.