子女因素对青年农民工婚姻稳定性的影响——基于2013年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测调查数据的实证研究

The Influence of Children 's Factors on Marital Stability of Young Migrant Workers--An empirical study on the data of 2013 national migrant Health and family planning dynamic monitoring survey data

研究基于2013年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测调查数据,运用Logit模型,分析子女因素对青年农民工婚姻稳定性的影响。回归结果表明:在其他因素不变的条件下,子女的数量越多,越有利于婚姻稳定,但子女数量达到一定规模时,存在边际效应;子女年龄越小,越不利于青年农民工的婚姻稳定;子女性别对青年农民工婚姻稳定没有影响,但在控制子女数量及年龄的条件下,与男孩相比,女孩是不利于青年农民工婚姻稳定的;同时发现,子女的分娩场所、现居地及学校性质也对青年农民工的婚姻稳定产生一定的影响。

The research was based on the data of 2013 National Migrant Health and Family Planning Dynamic Monitoring Survey. The Logit model was used to analyze the influence of the child factors on the marital stability of the young migrant workers. The results of the regression show that the larger the quantity of children is, the more stable the marriage is. But when the quantity of children rea- ches a certain scale, the marginal utility exist; The smaller the age of the child, the more negative effect on their marriage; Single child sex has no effect on the stability of young migrant workers, but girls are not conducive to young migrant workers marriage stability com- pared with the boys when we control conditions that are the quantity and age of children; We also found that children＇s birthplace, ad- dress and the school has a certain influence on the marriage stability of the young migrant workers at the same time.