中俄印三角关系:理论、形成条件及其变迁

Triangle Relationship between China,Russia and India: Theory,Conditions and Change

无论是冷战时期的中美苏战略三角,还是冷战后的中俄印三角关系,战略三角关系的形成有着特定的时代背景。不同的时代内涵决定了三角理论模式发展趋势。以迪特默三角模型及其构成条件为基础,结合冷战以后全球化发展的时代特征对该理论进行修正,可以发现三角关系由于问题领域的不同而具有非零和博弈特征,同时三角关系的影响在不同地区和同一地区内有关联性。研究冷战后中俄印三角关系形成的前提条件不难发现,三角关系的问题并不在于概念本身如何界定,而是取决于具体实践。在此基础上,分析"一带一路"倡议下的中俄印三角关系,有利于在更深层次上阐释三者间关系。

The formation of the strategic triangle relationship has a certain time background.The connotation of different times determines the development trend of triangle theory model.Based on dieter’s triangle model and the characteristics of global development after the cold war,two facts can be uncovered:firstly,triangle relationship in different fields has non-zero-sum feature,secondly,the effect of triangle relationship has relevance both in different regions and in the same area.Revelation resulted from the analysis of preconditions for the formation of China-Russia-India triangle relationship is that the problem of triangle relationship is not how to define the concept itself but the concrete practice.From that point of view the relationship between China and Russia under the'One Belt And One Road'initiative is analyzed deeply.