2030:全球化与区域经济合作的中国纪元

China's Era of Globalization and Regional Economic Cooperation by 2030

从反全球化到逆全球化,主体发生了变化:反全球化的力量既有发达国家,更有发展中国家,而掀起此轮逆全球化浪潮的则是欧美等发达国家。当下的逆全球化倾向集中暴露了发达国家主导下传统全球化的诸多弊端,给中国成为"新全球化"的引领者提供了契机。全球化的逆转也正影响着区域经济合作的发展方向,英美正试图从区域贸易协定回归双边贸易谈判,给中国创造了主导国际经贸规则制定的良机。与此同时,发达国家制造业回流给中国优化既有全球价值链,甚至生成全新的全球价值链,探索多元化、多维度的全球价值链攀升路径提供了思路。抓住这些机会,中国将在2030年引领经济全球化和区域经济合作。

From anti-globalization to reverse globalization, the players have changed： the anti-globalization forces include both developed countries and developing countries, while this round of reverse globalization is initiated by EL/, the US and other developed countries. The current anti-globalization tendency has exposed many drawbacks of the traditional globalization under the auspices of the developed countries, and provided an opportunity for China to become the leader of ＂new globalization＂. The reversal of globalization is also affecting the development direction of regional economic cooperation, the UK and the US are trying to return from the regional trade agreements toward bilateral trade negotiations, so that China may lead the international economic and trade rules formulation. At the same time, the return of manufacturing to the developed countries has provided ideas for China to optimize the existing global value chain and even generate a new global value chain, and explore a diversified, multi-dimensional global value chain climbing path. Seizing all these opportunities, China will lead the economic globalization and regional economic cooperation by 2030.