中国与典型国家贸易结合度与反倾销强度关联性研究

Research on Correlations Based on Trade Combined Degree and Anti-dumpling Intensity between China and the Typical Countries

大量文献研究反倾销的宏观影响因素时,用出口增长率、出口竞争力或进口国经济增长率等指标,而用两国贸易结合度指标分析反倾销影响的文献则很少。本文利用中国、美国、欧盟、印度及韩国商品贸易及反倾销数据,计算中国与有关国家的商品贸易结合度指标,计量分析商品贸易结合度对反倾销强度的影响程度。研究显示,两国商品结构上的贸易结合度与反倾销强度之间存在显著负相关,贸易结合度越高,反倾销强度会越小。说明了出口国的供给结构与进口国的需求结构的耦合体现了两国的贸易共赢水平,双边互补共赢的贸易增长会减少反倾销。

A large number of literature research on the macroscopic factors of anti-dumping, with export growth, export competitiveness or the growth rate of importer economic. Little literature, however, focus on the influence of the trade combined degree to the anti-dumping intensity between two countries. Based on Chi-na, the United States, the European Union, India and South Korea’s trade in goods and anti-dumping data, calcu-lating each index of China and relevant countries merchandise trade and econometric analysis each commodity trade combined degree to the influence of the intensity of anti-dumping. Research shows that between two coun-tries on the commodity structure of trade and the intensity of anti-dumping, there is a significant negative correlation, and the higher the trade combined degree, anti-dumping strength will be smaller, which illus-trates the supply structure of exporter and importer of demand structure of coupling embodies the win-win trade level between the two countries, and bilateral complementary win-win trade growth will reduce the antidumping.