基于铁路零碳排放的量化研究

Quantitative Study Based on Railway Zero Carbon Emissions

世界碳排放量剧增导致环境变化,全球需要可持续发展、绿色发展以减轻对环境的伤害。物流业也应在零碳排放的环境下快速发展,但在目前技术条件下的物流业并不能完全实现零碳排放,只能通过其他清洁能源来降低物流活动过程中的碳排放,文章主要对物流节点与节点之间的碳排放进行量化,运用逻辑斯蒂预测模型对未来五年的碳排放进行预测;通过在节点与节点之间建设可再生清洁能源设施设备来替代部分高碳能源的使用,从而达到降低物流活动中碳排放量的目的,使物流活动实现低碳排放,并检验其有效性。

The rapid increase of carbon emissions in the world leads to environmental change, and the world needs sustainable development and green development to reduce the harm to the environment. With the rapid development of the logistics industry should be zero carbon emissions under the environment, but in the current technical conditions of the logistics industry can not completely achieve zero carbon emissions, only through other clean energy to reduce carbon emissions in the process of logistics activities, this paper quantifies the logistics nodes with carbon emissions, the use of logistic forecast the model to predict the fu- ture five years of carbon emissions; through the construction of clean and renewable energy facilities and equipment between nodes to replace the use of high carbon energy, thereby reducing the amount of carbon emissions in logistics, the logistics activi- ties to achieve low carbon emissions, and to test its validity.