美国与欧盟应对中国崛起中的不同利益与政策协调

China's rise:what about a transatlantic dialogue?

本文检验并评估了中国在全球范围的崛起以及大西洋两岸针对该议题的讨论情况。自从2010年以来,中国的崛起一直伴随着中国在国际领域,特别是在贸易和投资领域的多重倡议。中国的海外直接投资在全球层面呈上升趋势。亚洲基础设施投资银行和丝路基金的创立,以及"一带一路"倡议的提出都标志着一个越来越坚定自信的中国正在加强同包括欧洲与美国在内的西方国家的联系。西方对此的反应,政府层面和草根层面都交织到一起,引发了两个问题:一是欧洲是否可以形成一个共同的对华政策?二是美国和欧盟是否可以继续对话并达成一个更为协调的战略?这与目前唐纳德·特朗普政府以及2017年法德两国大选后新上台的政府尤为相关。英国是否以及何时离开欧盟也是未来的跨大西洋对话所无法回避的一个问题。当美国和欧洲主要国家在制定未来几年的外交政策时,必须在政治和经济目标的层面上提高对华政策的协调性。本文针对可能的优先事项提供了若干建议。

This essay examines and evaluates China's global rise and the state of the transatlantic discussions about this issue. Since 2010,the rise of China has been accompanied by multiple Chinese initiatives on the international front,especially in the fields of trade and investment. Chinese overseas direct investments are on the rise at a global level. The creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank,of the Silk Road Fund and of the 'Belt and Road'initiative are signs of a much more assertive China that is now engaging Western countries,including Europe and the United States. Western reactions, both at governmental and grass-root levels have been mixed. Two questions emerge: can Europeans agree on a common policy toward China? And can the U. S and the European Union pursue a dialogue and a more coordina-ted strategy? This will be especially relevant in the context of President Donald Trump's Administration as well as newly elected governments in France and Germany following general elections in these countries in 2017. The future of a transatlantic dialogue should also encompass the British question if and when the United Kingdom leaves the E. U. As the United States and leading European countries map their foreign policy strategies in coming years,there is a need to elevate policy coordination toward China in the hierarchy of political and economic goals. The paper offers some suggestions on possible priorities.