当代中国阶层关系演化、经济增长影响及制度渊薮——基于积累的社会结构理论

Evolutions of Classes Relationships in Contemporary China,and Their Impacts and Institutional Reasons on Economic Growth——Based on SSA Theory

本文基于积累的社会结构理论视角,研究了1978-2013年中国阶层关系的演化,并据此分为SSA1和SSA2两个阶段,发现SSA2阶段存在强资弱劳、低个人收入-高国家积累、财权与事权的错配、积累和投资主体错位、金融侵蚀产业资本利润、劳动分化问题。经过统计分析,发现SSA2阶段中国的劳资关系对经济增长由SSA1阶段中的促进作用转变为抑制作用,其他阶层关系对劳资关系的影响由不显著变为显著。制度原因包括国企改革、社会福利改革、大规模投资和城市化战略、金融垄断、劳动者福利二元化等。最后提出了政策建议。

This paper studies on evolutions of Chinese classes relationships during 1978 to 2013 based on the SSA theory. According to which it divides this period into two phrases, SSA1 and SSA2. In SSA2,there exists problems including strengthened capital and weakened labor, lower individual income and higher national accumulation, des-allocated rights and responsibility, des-matched accumulating entity and investing entity, industrial profit eroded by financial capital, divided laborer. Based on the results of statistical analysis, the impact of capital-labor relationship on Chinese economic growth turns from positive in SSA1 to negative in SSA2, the impacts of other classes' relationships on capital-labor relationship turns from insignificant to significant. Institutional reasons for these turning include state-owned enterprises reform, welfare reform, large scale investment, urbanization strategy, financial monopoly and labor welfare dualization.Policy suggestions are provided at last.