冲突对贸易的动态影响机制研究综述

A Review of the Research on the Influence Mechanism of Conflict on Trade

冲突如何影响贸易?作为一个贸易大国和一个各种争端突出的国家,研究这一问题对于中国的政治、贸易政策具有重要的作用。在理论上,学者们基于国家层面和企业层面对两者的关系给出了一定的理论解释。实证研究则越来越朝向细分领域,诸如冲突对贸易长短期的效应,对不同产品行业的影响,区域性的战争、冲突与第三方伙伴国之间的相互影响等。未来中国应着力于所面临的政治事件对我国贸易的影响。

How does conflict affect trade？The study of this issue is of great significance to China’s political and trade policy.Theoretical explanation has been given,based on the relationship between the state and the enterprise.Empirical researchers of the topic have tried to conduct more detailed researches on subordinate directions,for stance,the long-term and short-term effect of conflict on trade,the influence of trade on different industries,the effect of regional war,the influence of trade on the thirdparty countries,etc.In the future,China should focus on the impact of political events on China’s trade.