服务贸易出口净技术复杂度对产业结构服务化转型的影响——基于跨国面板模型的实证检验

Net Technical Complexity of Service Trade Export and Industrial Structure Tertiarization Transformation:An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data

在中国国民经济亟待转型升级、服务贸易在全球贸易中的比重不断扩大的背景下,本文通过建立38个国家的面板数据模型,以人均GDP增长率、外国直接投资额、各国研究开发支出作为控制变量,实证检验了服务贸易出口技术复杂度对产业结构服务化的影响。分析表明,服务贸易出口技术复杂度对产业结构服务化具有显著的促进作用,这种促进作用在不同国家和不同行业之间具有一定的差异性;同时表明,外国直接投资额、研究开发支出与产业结构服务化具有正向关系,人均GDP增长率与产业结构服务化具有负向关系。最后,据此研究结论提出政策建议。

Industrial structure tertiarizationis the development trend of the national economy in China. Under the background of the growing proportion of service trade in global trade, this article establishesa panel data model of 38 countriesto study the impact of Net Technical Complexity of Service Trade Export＇ s onindustrial structure tertiarization,using GDP growth rate per capita,FDI,R＆D expenditure ascontrol variables.The result shows： the Net Technical Complexity of Service Trade Export has a significant role in promoting industrial structure teritiarization.The role varies with different countries and industries.At the same time, it shows that FDIand R＆D expenditure have a positive relationship with the industrial structure teritiarizationand, however, Per capita GDP shows a negative relationship.Finally, the policy recommendations are put forward.