摘要
为促进中国生物质能源产业协调、可持续发展,文中从产业发展影响研究、产业发展政策研究、产业发展优化研究3个方面对系统动力学在生物质能源产业发展研究领域中的应用进行了综述和分析,提出在今后研究中针对产业发展影响研究应深入到对于社会发展具体方面的影响研究、针对产业发展政策研究应加快探究如何实现产业发展过程中市场和政府作用的平衡、针对产业发展优化研究应引入情景分析等多元方法的应用。此外,文中还讨论了系统动力学在林木生物质能源产业发展研究中的适用性。
In order to achieve coordinated and sustainable development of bioenergy industry in China and promote the extensive application and deep research of system dynamics, this paper reviewed and analyzed the application of system dynamics to bioenergy industry development research in the world in terms of industrial development influence evaluation research, industrial development policy research and industrial development optimization research. Finally, we put forward some suggestions for future researches, i.e. , deepening research on the influence of industry development on specific aspects of social development, focusing on the balance between market and government in industrial development policy research, and introducing scenario analysis and other methods into the industrial development optimization research. In addition, this study also demonstrated the applicability of system dynamics in the study of forest bioenergy industry.
出处
《世界林业研究》
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第4期7-12,共6页
World Forestry Research
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究项目青年基金项目(13YJCZH131)
北京市社会科学基金项目青年项目(15JGC148)
国家社科基金项目一般项目(15BGL130)
